APEX estimates Cincinnati Reds -0.5 has a 51.2% probability of winning the first-five market.

The locked ATS vector uses registered starter strikeout, walk, run-estimator, contact-quality, and stuff inputs for Chase Burns and Slade Cecconi.

The active ATS artifact has no lineup feature, so the rationale applies no separate lineup, handedness, scratch, offense, or defense claim.

The pregame information state is complete for the locked scoring contract; park, roof, weather, catcher, umpire, and ABS are not separate inputs to this ATS artifact.

For Cincinnati Reds -0.5, the strongest selected-side log-odds support came from the starter FIP difference at -1.1376 (+0.0546) and the starter strikeout-minus-walk difference at +0.0763 (+0.0245) after the locked imputation and scaling steps.

APEX estimates Under 4.5 has a 49.7% probability of winning the first-five market.

The totals vector uses registered starter strikeout-to-walk and FIP inputs for Chase Burns and Slade Cecconi.

Registered lineup, platoon, offense, defense, and recent-form inputs enter the totals vector only through the values archived at the pregame cutoff.

The active totals context records 82-degree temperature and 9 miles per hour wind with the archived park and weather information states.

For Cleveland Guardians at Cincinnati Reds, the complete run distribution placed its mode at 3 and its central 80% mass from 1 through 10 first-five runs around a 5.092-run mean, a game-specific shape used to evaluate Under 4.5 without implying certainty.

APEX estimates Tampa Bay Rays -0.5 has a 53.4% probability of winning the first-five market.

The locked ATS vector uses its declared starter uncertainty treatment because at least one starter is not confirmed.

The active ATS artifact has no lineup feature, so the rationale applies no separate lineup, handedness, scratch, offense, or defense claim.

The scorer records starter unconfirmed away;lineup unposted home;lineup unposted away and applies its declared uncertainty treatment; park, roof, weather, catcher, umpire, and ABS are not separate inputs to this ATS artifact.

For Tampa Bay Rays -0.5, the strongest selected-side log-odds support came from the starter contact-quality difference at +0.0213 (+0.1468) and the starter Stuff+ difference at +6.9057 (+0.0037) after the locked imputation and scaling steps.

APEX estimates Under 4.5 has a 54.9% probability of winning the first-five market.

The totals vector applies its declared starter fallback because at least one starter is not confirmed.

Registered lineup, platoon, offense, defense, and recent-form inputs enter the totals vector only through the values archived at the pregame cutoff.

The active totals context records 82-degree temperature and 8 miles per hour wind with the archived park and weather information states.

For Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Rays, the complete run distribution placed its mode at 3 and its central 80% mass from 1 through 9 first-five runs around a 4.702-run mean, a game-specific shape used to evaluate Under 4.5 without implying certainty.

APEX estimates Arizona Diamondbacks +0.5 has a 57.7% probability of winning the first-five market.

The locked ATS vector uses registered starter strikeout, walk, run-estimator, contact-quality, and stuff inputs for Bubba Chandler and Brandon Pfaadt.

The active ATS artifact has no lineup feature, so the rationale applies no separate lineup, handedness, scratch, offense, or defense claim.

The scorer records lineup unposted home;lineup unposted away and applies its declared uncertainty treatment; park, roof, weather, catcher, umpire, and ABS are not separate inputs to this ATS artifact.

For Arizona Diamondbacks +0.5, the strongest selected-side log-odds support came from the starter walk-rate difference at +0.0446 (+0.0594) and the starter FIP difference at -0.0019 (+0.0424) after the locked imputation and scaling steps.

APEX estimates Under 4.5 has a 52.2% probability of winning the first-five market.

The totals vector uses registered starter strikeout-to-walk and FIP inputs for Bubba Chandler and Brandon Pfaadt.

Registered lineup, platoon, offense, defense, and recent-form inputs enter the totals vector only through the values archived at the pregame cutoff.

The active totals context records 77-degree temperature and 8 miles per hour wind with the archived park and weather information states.

For Arizona Diamondbacks at Pittsburgh Pirates, the complete run distribution placed its mode at 3 and its central 80% mass from 1 through 9 first-five runs around a 4.882-run mean, a game-specific shape used to evaluate Under 4.5 without implying certainty.

APEX estimates Miami Marlins -0.5 has a 51.4% probability of winning the first-five market.

The locked ATS vector uses registered starter strikeout, walk, run-estimator, contact-quality, and stuff inputs for Sandy Alcantara and Aaron Nola.

The active ATS artifact has no lineup feature, so the rationale applies no separate lineup, handedness, scratch, offense, or defense claim.

The scorer records lineup unposted home;lineup unposted away and applies its declared uncertainty treatment; park, roof, weather, catcher, umpire, and ABS are not separate inputs to this ATS artifact.

For Miami Marlins -0.5, the strongest selected-side log-odds support came from the starter contact-quality difference at +0.0360 (+0.2564) and the starter xFIP difference at +0.2163 (+0.0569) after the locked imputation and scaling steps.

APEX estimates Over 4.5 has a 54.2% probability of winning the first-five market.

The totals vector uses registered starter strikeout-to-walk and FIP inputs for Sandy Alcantara and Aaron Nola.

Registered lineup, platoon, offense, defense, and recent-form inputs enter the totals vector only through the values archived at the pregame cutoff.

The active totals context records 87-degree temperature and 7 miles per hour wind with the archived park and weather information states.

For Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins, the complete run distribution placed its mode at 4 and its central 80% mass from 1 through 10 first-five runs around a 5.436-run mean, a game-specific shape used to evaluate Over 4.5 without implying certainty.

APEX estimates Detroit Tigers -0.5 has a 60.4% probability of winning the first-five market.

The locked ATS vector uses registered starter strikeout, walk, run-estimator, contact-quality, and stuff inputs for Troy Melton and Dean Kremer.

The active ATS artifact has no lineup feature, so the rationale applies no separate lineup, handedness, scratch, offense, or defense claim.

The scorer records lineup unposted home;lineup unposted away and applies its declared uncertainty treatment; park, roof, weather, catcher, umpire, and ABS are not separate inputs to this ATS artifact.

For Detroit Tigers -0.5, the strongest selected-side log-odds support came from the starter contact-quality difference at +0.0450 (+0.3235) and the starter FIP difference at -1.7375 (+0.1058) after the locked imputation and scaling steps.

APEX estimates Under 5.5 has a 67.3% probability of winning the first-five market.

The totals vector uses registered starter strikeout-to-walk and FIP inputs for Troy Melton and Dean Kremer.

Registered lineup, platoon, offense, defense, and recent-form inputs enter the totals vector only through the values archived at the pregame cutoff.

The active totals context records 82-degree temperature and 13 miles per hour wind with the archived park and weather information states.

For Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers, the complete run distribution placed its mode at 3 and its central 80% mass from 1 through 9 first-five runs around a 4.612-run mean, a game-specific shape used to evaluate Under 5.5 without implying certainty.

APEX estimates Washington Nationals -0.5 has a 65.1% probability of winning the first-five market.

The locked ATS vector uses registered starter strikeout, walk, run-estimator, contact-quality, and stuff inputs for Cade Cavalli and Shane Bieber.

The active ATS artifact has no lineup feature, so the rationale applies no separate lineup, handedness, scratch, offense, or defense claim.

The scorer records lineup unposted home;lineup unposted away and applies its declared uncertainty treatment; park, roof, weather, catcher, umpire, and ABS are not separate inputs to this ATS artifact.

For Washington Nationals -0.5, the strongest selected-side log-odds support came from the starter contact-quality difference at +0.0580 (+0.4203) and the starter FIP difference at -2.6975 (+0.1877) after the locked imputation and scaling steps.

APEX estimates Over 4.5 has a 62.8% probability of winning the first-five market.

The totals vector uses registered starter strikeout-to-walk and FIP inputs for Cade Cavalli and Shane Bieber.

Registered lineup, platoon, offense, defense, and recent-form inputs enter the totals vector only through the values archived at the pregame cutoff.

The active totals context records 85-degree temperature and 5 miles per hour wind with the archived park and weather information states.

For Toronto Blue Jays at Washington Nationals, the complete run distribution placed its mode at 4 and its central 80% mass from 2 through 12 first-five runs around a 6.359-run mean, a game-specific shape used to evaluate Over 4.5 without implying certainty.

APEX estimates New York Mets +0.5 has a 50.6% probability of winning the first-five market.

The locked ATS vector uses registered starter strikeout, walk, run-estimator, contact-quality, and stuff inputs for Christian Scott and Chris Sale.

The active ATS artifact has no lineup feature, so the rationale applies no separate lineup, handedness, scratch, offense, or defense claim.

The scorer records lineup unposted home;lineup unposted away and applies its declared uncertainty treatment; park, roof, weather, catcher, umpire, and ABS are not separate inputs to this ATS artifact.

For New York Mets +0.5, the strongest selected-side log-odds support came from the starter contact-quality difference at -0.0080 (+0.0714) and the starter xFIP difference at -0.8192 (+0.0327) after the locked imputation and scaling steps.

APEX estimates Over 3.5 has a 54.7% probability of winning the first-five market.

The totals vector uses registered starter strikeout-to-walk and FIP inputs for Christian Scott and Chris Sale.

Registered lineup, platoon, offense, defense, and recent-form inputs enter the totals vector only through the values archived at the pregame cutoff.

The active totals context records 73-degree temperature and 11 miles per hour wind with the archived park and weather information states.

For Atlanta Braves at New York Mets, the complete run distribution placed its mode at 3 and its central 80% mass from 1 through 8 first-five runs around a 4.345-run mean, a game-specific shape used to evaluate Over 3.5 without implying certainty.

APEX estimates Cleveland Guardians -0.5 has a 48.3% probability of winning the first-five market.

The locked ATS vector uses its declared starter uncertainty treatment because at least one starter is not confirmed.

The active ATS artifact has no lineup feature, so the rationale applies no separate lineup, handedness, scratch, offense, or defense claim.

The scorer records starter unconfirmed home;lineup unposted home;lineup unposted away and applies its declared uncertainty treatment; park, roof, weather, catcher, umpire, and ABS are not separate inputs to this ATS artifact.

For Cleveland Guardians -0.5, the strongest selected-side log-odds support came from the starter FIP difference at -1.1464 (+0.0553) and the starter strikeout-minus-walk difference at +0.1120 (+0.0423) after the locked imputation and scaling steps.

APEX estimates Under 4.5 has a 59.5% probability of winning the first-five market.

The totals vector applies its declared starter fallback because at least one starter is not confirmed.

Registered lineup, platoon, offense, defense, and recent-form inputs enter the totals vector only through the values archived at the pregame cutoff.

The active totals context records 85-degree temperature and 9 miles per hour wind with the archived park and weather information states.

For Cleveland Guardians at Cincinnati Reds, the complete run distribution placed its mode at 3 and its central 80% mass from 1 through 8 first-five runs around a 4.327-run mean, a game-specific shape used to evaluate Under 4.5 without implying certainty.

APEX estimates Kansas City Royals +0.5 has a 51.1% probability of winning the first-five market.

The locked ATS vector uses registered starter strikeout, walk, run-estimator, contact-quality, and stuff inputs for Taj Bradley and Seth Lugo.

The active ATS artifact has no lineup feature, so the rationale applies no separate lineup, handedness, scratch, offense, or defense claim.

The scorer records lineup unposted home;lineup unposted away and applies its declared uncertainty treatment; park, roof, weather, catcher, umpire, and ABS are not separate inputs to this ATS artifact.

For Kansas City Royals +0.5, the strongest selected-side log-odds support came from the starter walk-rate difference at +0.0163 (+0.0254) and the starter FIP difference at -0.2227 (+0.0235) after the locked imputation and scaling steps.

APEX estimates Under 4.5 has a 47.3% probability of winning the first-five market.

The totals vector uses registered starter strikeout-to-walk and FIP inputs for Taj Bradley and Seth Lugo.

Registered lineup, platoon, offense, defense, and recent-form inputs enter the totals vector only through the values archived at the pregame cutoff.

The active totals context records 90-degree temperature and 6 miles per hour wind with the archived park and weather information states.

For Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins, the complete run distribution placed its mode at 4 and its central 80% mass from 1 through 10 first-five runs around a 5.309-run mean, a game-specific shape used to evaluate Under 4.5 without implying certainty.

APEX estimates Chicago White Sox +0.5 has a 59.8% probability of winning the first-five market.

The locked ATS vector uses registered starter strikeout, walk, run-estimator, contact-quality, and stuff inputs for Anthony Kay and Gerrit Cole.

The active ATS artifact has no lineup feature, so the rationale applies no separate lineup, handedness, scratch, offense, or defense claim.

The scorer records lineup unposted home;lineup unposted away and applies its declared uncertainty treatment; park, roof, weather, catcher, umpire, and ABS are not separate inputs to this ATS artifact.

For Chicago White Sox +0.5, the strongest selected-side log-odds support came from the starter contact-quality difference at -0.0400 (+0.3098) and the starter xFIP difference at -1.1923 (+0.0649) after the locked imputation and scaling steps.

APEX estimates Over 4.5 has a 52.2% probability of winning the first-five market.

The totals vector uses registered starter strikeout-to-walk and FIP inputs for Anthony Kay and Gerrit Cole.

Registered lineup, platoon, offense, defense, and recent-form inputs enter the totals vector only through the values archived at the pregame cutoff.

The active totals context records 69-degree temperature and 10 miles per hour wind with the archived park and weather information states.

For New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox, the complete run distribution placed its mode at 4 and its central 80% mass from 1 through 10 first-five runs around a 5.247-run mean, a game-specific shape used to evaluate Over 4.5 without implying certainty.

APEX estimates Chicago Cubs +0.5 has a 57.9% probability of winning the first-five market.

The locked ATS vector uses its declared starter uncertainty treatment because at least one starter is not confirmed.

The active ATS artifact has no lineup feature, so the rationale applies no separate lineup, handedness, scratch, offense, or defense claim.

The scorer records starter unconfirmed home;lineup unposted home;lineup unposted away and applies its declared uncertainty treatment; park, roof, weather, catcher, umpire, and ABS are not separate inputs to this ATS artifact.

For Chicago Cubs +0.5, the strongest selected-side log-odds support came from the starter contact-quality difference at -0.0001 (+0.0127) and the starter xFIP difference at -0.5736 (+0.0114) after the locked imputation and scaling steps.

APEX estimates Under 4.5 has a 51.7% probability of winning the first-five market.

The totals vector applies its declared starter fallback because at least one starter is not confirmed.

Registered lineup, platoon, offense, defense, and recent-form inputs enter the totals vector only through the values archived at the pregame cutoff.

The active totals context records 94-degree temperature and 9 miles per hour wind with the archived park and weather information states.

For Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals, the complete run distribution placed its mode at 3 and its central 80% mass from 1 through 9 first-five runs around a 4.927-run mean, a game-specific shape used to evaluate Under 4.5 without implying certainty.

APEX estimates Houston Astros +0.5 has a 60.7% probability of winning the first-five market.

The locked ATS vector uses registered starter strikeout, walk, run-estimator, contact-quality, and stuff inputs for Reid Detmers and Peter Lambert.

The active ATS artifact has no lineup feature, so the rationale applies no separate lineup, handedness, scratch, offense, or defense claim.

The scorer records lineup unposted home;lineup unposted away and applies its declared uncertainty treatment; park, roof, weather, catcher, umpire, and ABS are not separate inputs to this ATS artifact.

For Houston Astros +0.5, the strongest selected-side log-odds support came from the starter contact-quality difference at -0.0170 (+0.1384) and the starter xFIP difference at -0.8237 (+0.0331) after the locked imputation and scaling steps.

APEX estimates Under 4.5 has a 54.0% probability of winning the first-five market.

The totals vector uses registered starter strikeout-to-walk and FIP inputs for Reid Detmers and Peter Lambert.

Registered lineup, platoon, offense, defense, and recent-form inputs enter the totals vector only through the values archived at the pregame cutoff.

The active totals context records 79-degree temperature and 7 miles per hour wind with the archived park and weather information states.

For Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels, the complete run distribution placed its mode at 3 and its central 80% mass from 1 through 9 first-five runs around a 4.734-run mean, a game-specific shape used to evaluate Under 4.5 without implying certainty.

APEX estimates San Diego Padres -0.5 has a 66.3% probability of winning the first-five market.

The locked ATS vector uses registered starter strikeout, walk, run-estimator, contact-quality, and stuff inputs for Michael King and Michael Lorenzen.

The active ATS artifact has no lineup feature, so the rationale applies no separate lineup, handedness, scratch, offense, or defense claim.

The scorer records lineup unposted home;lineup unposted away and applies its declared uncertainty treatment; park, roof, weather, catcher, umpire, and ABS are not separate inputs to this ATS artifact.

For San Diego Padres -0.5, the strongest selected-side log-odds support came from the starter contact-quality difference at +0.0800 (+0.5842) and the starter FIP difference at -0.8976 (+0.0341) after the locked imputation and scaling steps.

APEX estimates Under 4.5 has a 55.4% probability of winning the first-five market.

The totals vector uses registered starter strikeout-to-walk and FIP inputs for Michael King and Michael Lorenzen.

Registered lineup, platoon, offense, defense, and recent-form inputs enter the totals vector only through the values archived at the pregame cutoff.

The active totals context records 75-degree temperature and 7 miles per hour wind with the archived park and weather information states.

For Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres, the complete run distribution placed its mode at 3 and its central 80% mass from 1 through 9 first-five runs around a 4.654-run mean, a game-specific shape used to evaluate Under 4.5 without implying certainty.

APEX estimates Boston Red Sox -0.5 has a 52.4% probability of winning the first-five market.

The locked ATS vector uses registered starter strikeout, walk, run-estimator, contact-quality, and stuff inputs for Gage Jump and Jake Bennett.

The active ATS artifact has no lineup feature, so the rationale applies no separate lineup, handedness, scratch, offense, or defense claim.

The scorer records lineup unposted home;lineup unposted away and applies its declared uncertainty treatment; park, roof, weather, catcher, umpire, and ABS are not separate inputs to this ATS artifact.

For Boston Red Sox -0.5, the strongest selected-side log-odds support came from the starter contact-quality difference at +0.0290 (+0.2043) and the starter xFIP difference at -0.1007 (+0.0295) after the locked imputation and scaling steps.

APEX estimates Under 5.5 has a 56.6% probability of winning the first-five market.

The totals vector uses registered starter strikeout-to-walk and FIP inputs for Gage Jump and Jake Bennett.

Registered lineup, platoon, offense, defense, and recent-form inputs enter the totals vector only through the values archived at the pregame cutoff.

The active totals context records 94-degree temperature and 10 miles per hour wind with the archived park and weather information states.

For Boston Red Sox at Athletics, the complete run distribution placed its mode at 4 and its central 80% mass from 2 through 10 first-five runs around a 5.514-run mean, a game-specific shape used to evaluate Under 5.5 without implying certainty.

APEX estimates Milwaukee Brewers -0.5 has a 50.3% probability of winning the first-five market.

The locked ATS vector uses registered starter strikeout, walk, run-estimator, contact-quality, and stuff inputs for Landen Roupp and Logan Henderson.

The active ATS artifact has no lineup feature, so the rationale applies no separate lineup, handedness, scratch, offense, or defense claim.

The scorer records lineup unposted home;lineup unposted away and applies its declared uncertainty treatment; park, roof, weather, catcher, umpire, and ABS are not separate inputs to this ATS artifact.

For Milwaukee Brewers -0.5, the strongest selected-side log-odds support came from the starter contact-quality difference at +0.0260 (+0.1819) and the starter walk-rate difference at -0.0312 (+0.0319) after the locked imputation and scaling steps.

APEX estimates Over 3.5 has a 58.7% probability of winning the first-five market.

The totals vector uses registered starter strikeout-to-walk and FIP inputs for Landen Roupp and Logan Henderson.

Registered lineup, platoon, offense, defense, and recent-form inputs enter the totals vector only through the values archived at the pregame cutoff.

The active totals context records 68-degree temperature and 18 miles per hour wind with the archived park and weather information states.

For Milwaukee Brewers at San Francisco Giants, the complete run distribution placed its mode at 3 and its central 80% mass from 1 through 9 first-five runs around a 4.681-run mean, a game-specific shape used to evaluate Over 3.5 without implying certainty.

APEX estimates Seattle Mariners +0.5 has a 45.6% probability of winning the first-five market.

The locked ATS vector uses its declared starter uncertainty treatment because at least one starter is not confirmed.

The active ATS artifact has no lineup feature, so the rationale applies no separate lineup, handedness, scratch, offense, or defense claim.

The scorer records starter unconfirmed home;lineup unposted home;lineup unposted away and applies its declared uncertainty treatment; park, roof, weather, catcher, umpire, and ABS are not separate inputs to this ATS artifact.

For Seattle Mariners +0.5, the strongest selected-side log-odds support came from the starter FIP difference at -0.3369 (+0.0138) and the starter xFIP difference at -0.5759 (+0.0116) after the locked imputation and scaling steps.

APEX estimates Under 5.5 has a 59.4% probability of winning the first-five market.

The totals vector applies its declared starter fallback because at least one starter is not confirmed.

Registered lineup, platoon, offense, defense, and recent-form inputs enter the totals vector only through the values archived at the pregame cutoff.

At least one active park or weather value is unavailable, so the totals artifact uses only its declared trained fallback and makes no neutrality claim.

For Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Dodgers, the complete run distribution placed its mode at 3 and its central 80% mass from 1 through 10 first-five runs around a 5.292-run mean, a game-specific shape used to evaluate Under 5.5 without implying certainty.