St. John's Red Storm -28.5 is a 50.7% chance to cover. The model's power ratings project the Iona Gaels to win by 8.1 points against the St. John's Red Storm, while the FanDuel home line of -28.5 makes the St. John's Red Storm a 28.5-point favorite. That 8.1-point gap between the projected margin and the line favors the St. John's Red Storm. The model ranks the St. John's Red Storm 18th and the Iona Gaels 180th among 365 D-I teams nationally. Barttorvik adjusted efficiency of 114.7 on offense and 96.4 on defense for the St. John's Red Storm, against 101.5 and 106.1 for the Iona Gaels, favors the St. John's Red Storm on the margin. Laying 28.5 points is the biggest factor against the pick. The tier is Weak.

Under 151.5 is a 50.9% chance on the total. Barttorvik adjusted efficiency has the St. John's Red Storm at 114.7 on offense (45th) and 96.4 on defense (21st) and the Iona Gaels at 101.5 (257th) and 106.1 (179th). The combined offense-against-defense efficiency for this matchup sits in the 47th percentile of tonight's slate, while the FanDuel total of 151.5 sits in the 40th percentile. Scoring efficiency above what the posted total implies relative to the rest of the slate works against the Under. Barttorvik adjusted tempo of 73.0 for the St. John's Red Storm and 71.0 for the Iona Gaels averages 72.0 possessions per 40 minutes. The tier is Strong.

Virginia Cavaliers -3.5 is a 53.9% chance to cover. The model's power ratings project the Arkansas Razorbacks to win by 2.2 points against the Virginia Cavaliers, while the FanDuel home line of -3.5 makes the Virginia Cavaliers a 3.5-point favorite. That 2.2-point gap between the projected margin and the line favors the Virginia Cavaliers. The model ranks the Virginia Cavaliers 26th and the Arkansas Razorbacks 22nd among 365 D-I teams nationally. Barttorvik adjusted efficiency of 119.9 on offense and 93.6 on defense for the Virginia Cavaliers, against 116.5 and 95.9 for the Arkansas Razorbacks, favors the Virginia Cavaliers on the margin. Laying 3.5 points is the biggest factor against the pick. The tier is Elite.

Under 161.5 is a 53.3% chance on the total. Barttorvik adjusted efficiency has the Virginia Cavaliers at 119.9 on offense (7th) and 93.6 on defense (10th) and the Arkansas Razorbacks at 116.5 (32nd) and 95.9 (18th). The combined offense-against-defense efficiency for this matchup sits in the 7th percentile of tonight's slate, while the FanDuel total of 161.5 sits in the 93rd percentile. Scoring efficiency below what the posted total implies relative to the rest of the slate favors the Under. Barttorvik adjusted tempo of 71.1 for the Virginia Cavaliers and 72.6 for the Arkansas Razorbacks averages 71.9 possessions per 40 minutes. The tier is Elite.

Siena Saints +1.5 is a 53.2% chance to cover. The model's power ratings project the Princeton Tigers to win by 3.4 points against the Siena Saints, while the FanDuel home line of +1.5 makes the Siena Saints a 1.5-point underdog. That 3.4-point gap between the projected margin and the line favors the Siena Saints. The model ranks the Siena Saints 205th and the Princeton Tigers 145th among 365 D-I teams nationally. Barttorvik adjusted efficiency of 100.8 on offense and 107.4 on defense for the Siena Saints, against 105.5 and 105.9 for the Princeton Tigers, works against the Siena Saints on the margin. The 1.5 points the Siena Saints receive at home are already priced into the line. The tier is Elite.

Under 154.5 is a 50.1% chance on the total. Barttorvik adjusted efficiency has the Siena Saints at 100.8 on offense (267th) and 107.4 on defense (210th) and the Princeton Tigers at 105.5 (163rd) and 105.9 (172nd). The combined offense-against-defense efficiency for this matchup sits in the 67th percentile of tonight's slate, while the FanDuel total of 154.5 sits in the 53rd percentile. Scoring efficiency above what the posted total implies relative to the rest of the slate works against the Under. Barttorvik adjusted tempo of 85.2 for the Siena Saints and 68.4 for the Princeton Tigers averages 76.8 possessions per 40 minutes. The tier is Weak.

SE Missouri St Redhawks +16.5 is a 52.7% chance to cover. The model's power ratings project the SE Missouri St Redhawks to win by 0.2 points against the South Carolina Gamecocks, while the FanDuel home line of -16.5 makes the South Carolina Gamecocks a 16.5-point favorite. That 0.2-point gap between the projected margin and the line favors the SE Missouri St Redhawks. The model ranks the South Carolina Gamecocks 81st and the SE Missouri St Redhawks 234th among 365 D-I teams nationally. Barttorvik adjusted efficiency of 100.3 on offense and 106.9 on defense for the SE Missouri St Redhawks, against 110.6 and 101.3 for the South Carolina Gamecocks, works against the SE Missouri St Redhawks on the margin. The South Carolina Gamecocks playing at home is the biggest factor against the pick. The tier is Strong.

Over 145.5 is a 50.2% chance on the total. Barttorvik adjusted efficiency has the South Carolina Gamecocks at 110.6 on offense (92nd) and 101.3 on defense (96th) and the SE Missouri St Redhawks at 100.3 (274th) and 106.9 (195th). The combined offense-against-defense efficiency for this matchup sits in the 73rd percentile of tonight's slate, while the FanDuel total of 145.5 sits in the 0th percentile. Scoring efficiency above what the posted total implies relative to the rest of the slate favors the Over. Barttorvik adjusted tempo of 68.3 for the South Carolina Gamecocks and 72.6 for the SE Missouri St Redhawks averages 70.4 possessions per 40 minutes. The tier is Weak.

Butler Bulldogs +2.5 is a 50.8% chance to cover. The model's power ratings project the Boise State Broncos to win by 3.0 points against the Butler Bulldogs, while the FanDuel home line of -2.5 makes the Boise State Broncos a 2.5-point favorite. That 3.0-point gap between the projected margin and the line favors the Butler Bulldogs. The model ranks the Boise State Broncos 89th and the Butler Bulldogs 74th among 365 D-I teams nationally. Barttorvik adjusted efficiency of 111.2 on offense and 101.1 on defense for the Butler Bulldogs, against 109.4 and 99.9 for the Boise State Broncos, favors the Butler Bulldogs on the margin. The Boise State Broncos playing at home is the biggest factor against the pick. The tier is Moderate.

Under 156.5 is a 50.3% chance on the total. Barttorvik adjusted efficiency has the Boise State Broncos at 109.4 on offense (109th) and 99.9 on defense (74th) and the Butler Bulldogs at 111.2 (85th) and 101.1 (95th). The combined offense-against-defense efficiency for this matchup sits in the 60th percentile of tonight's slate, while the FanDuel total of 156.5 sits in the 67th percentile. Scoring efficiency below what the posted total implies relative to the rest of the slate favors the Under. Barttorvik adjusted tempo of 69.3 for the Boise State Broncos and 75.1 for the Butler Bulldogs averages 72.2 possessions per 40 minutes. The tier is Weak.

Western Michigan Broncos -5.5 is a 50.7% chance to cover. The model's power ratings project the Western Michigan Broncos to win by 0.2 points against the Campbell Fighting Camels, while the FanDuel home line of -5.5 makes the Western Michigan Broncos a 5.5-point favorite. That 0.2-point gap between the projected margin and the line favors the Western Michigan Broncos. The model ranks the Western Michigan Broncos 174th and the Campbell Fighting Camels 216th among 365 D-I teams nationally. Barttorvik adjusted efficiency of 107.8 on offense and 109.2 on defense for the Western Michigan Broncos, against 104.2 and 109.5 for the Campbell Fighting Camels, favors the Western Michigan Broncos on the margin. Laying 5.5 points is the biggest factor against the pick. The tier is Weak.

Under 149.5 is a 50.8% chance on the total. Barttorvik adjusted efficiency has the Western Michigan Broncos at 107.8 on offense (129th) and 109.2 on defense (251st) and the Campbell Fighting Camels at 104.2 (192nd) and 109.5 (261st). The combined offense-against-defense efficiency for this matchup sits in the 53rd percentile of tonight's slate, while the FanDuel total of 149.5 sits in the 27th percentile. Scoring efficiency above what the posted total implies relative to the rest of the slate works against the Under. Barttorvik adjusted tempo of 70.3 for the Western Michigan Broncos and 76.2 for the Campbell Fighting Camels averages 73.2 possessions per 40 minutes. The tier is Moderate.

Green Bay Phoenix +8.5 is a 51.0% chance to cover. The model's power ratings project the Green Bay Phoenix to win by 2.0 points against the St. Thomas (MN) Tommies, while the FanDuel home line of -8.5 makes the St. Thomas (MN) Tommies an 8.5-point favorite. That 2.0-point gap between the projected margin and the line favors the Green Bay Phoenix. The model ranks the St. Thomas (MN) Tommies 133rd and the Green Bay Phoenix 186th among 365 D-I teams nationally. Barttorvik adjusted efficiency of 106.2 on offense and 108.0 on defense for the Green Bay Phoenix, against 107.0 and 106.1 for the St. Thomas (MN) Tommies, works against the Green Bay Phoenix on the margin. The St. Thomas (MN) Tommies playing at home is the biggest factor against the pick. The tier is Moderate.

Over 148.5 is a 50.3% chance on the total. Barttorvik adjusted efficiency has the St. Thomas (MN) Tommies at 107.0 on offense (143rd) and 106.1 on defense (181st) and the Green Bay Phoenix at 106.2 (154th) and 108.0 (226th). The combined offense-against-defense efficiency for this matchup sits in the 87th percentile of tonight's slate, while the FanDuel total of 148.5 sits in the 20th percentile. Scoring efficiency above what the posted total implies relative to the rest of the slate favors the Over. Barttorvik adjusted tempo of 70.7 for the St. Thomas (MN) Tommies and 69.4 for the Green Bay Phoenix averages 70.1 possessions per 40 minutes. The tier is Moderate.

Air Force Falcons -5.5 is a 50.5% chance to cover. The model's power ratings project the Air Force Falcons to win by 0.8 points against the Idaho State Bengals, while the FanDuel home line of -5.5 makes the Air Force Falcons a 5.5-point favorite. That 0.8-point gap between the projected margin and the line favors the Air Force Falcons. The model ranks the Air Force Falcons 330th and the Idaho State Bengals 349th among 365 D-I teams nationally. Barttorvik adjusted efficiency of 101.0 on offense and 111.5 on defense for the Air Force Falcons, against 96.9 and 111.7 for the Idaho State Bengals, favors the Air Force Falcons on the margin. Laying 5.5 points is the biggest factor against the pick. The tier is Weak.

Over 160.5 is a 50.5% chance on the total. Barttorvik adjusted efficiency has the Air Force Falcons at 101.0 on offense (263rd) and 111.5 on defense (311th) and the Idaho State Bengals at 96.9 (329th) and 111.7 (317th). The combined offense-against-defense efficiency for this matchup sits in the 100th percentile of tonight's slate, while the FanDuel total of 160.5 sits in the 87th percentile. Scoring efficiency above what the posted total implies relative to the rest of the slate favors the Over. Barttorvik adjusted tempo of 75.9 for the Air Force Falcons and 69.7 for the Idaho State Bengals averages 72.8 possessions per 40 minutes. The tier is Moderate.

Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +3.5 is a 51.3% chance to cover. The model's power ratings project the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers to win by 0.7 points against the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles, while the FanDuel home line of +3.5 makes the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles a 3.5-point underdog. That 0.7-point gap between the projected margin and the line favors the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles. The model ranks the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles 212th and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 119th among 365 D-I teams nationally. Barttorvik adjusted efficiency of 105.7 on offense and 111.3 on defense for the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles, against 108.6 and 103.2 for the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, works against the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles on the margin. The 3.5 points the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles receive at home are already priced into the line. The tier is Strong.

Over 162.5 is a 50.3% chance on the total. Barttorvik adjusted efficiency has the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles at 105.7 on offense (159th) and 111.3 on defense (307th) and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at 108.6 (119th) and 103.2 (113th). The combined offense-against-defense efficiency for this matchup sits in the 93rd percentile of tonight's slate, while the FanDuel total of 162.5 sits in the 100th percentile. Scoring efficiency below what the posted total implies relative to the rest of the slate works against the Over. Barttorvik adjusted tempo of 71.7 for the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles and 72.2 for the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers averages 72.0 possessions per 40 minutes. The tier is Moderate.

Nevada Wolf Pack -1.5 is a 51.1% chance to cover. The model's power ratings project the Saint Mary's Gaels to win by 1.1 points against the Nevada Wolf Pack, while the FanDuel home line of -1.5 makes the Nevada Wolf Pack a 1.5-point favorite. That 1.1-point gap between the projected margin and the line favors the Nevada Wolf Pack. The model ranks the Nevada Wolf Pack 72nd and the Saint Mary's Gaels 82nd among 365 D-I teams nationally. Barttorvik adjusted efficiency of 110.0 on offense and 99.0 on defense for the Nevada Wolf Pack, against 112.1 and 97.9 for the Saint Mary's Gaels, works against the Nevada Wolf Pack on the margin. Laying 1.5 points is the biggest factor against the pick. The tier is Moderate.

Under 145.5 is a 52.5% chance on the total. Barttorvik adjusted efficiency has the Nevada Wolf Pack at 110.0 on offense (99th) and 99.0 on defense (60th) and the Saint Mary's Gaels at 112.1 (77th) and 97.9 (40th). The combined offense-against-defense efficiency for this matchup sits in the 13th percentile of tonight's slate, while the FanDuel total of 145.5 sits in the 0th percentile. Scoring efficiency above what the posted total implies relative to the rest of the slate works against the Under. Barttorvik adjusted tempo of 68.9 for the Nevada Wolf Pack and 70.7 for the Saint Mary's Gaels averages 69.8 possessions per 40 minutes. The tier is Elite.

Temple Owls +2.5 is a 52.5% chance to cover. The model's power ratings project the Temple Owls to win by 2.3 points against the Richmond Spiders, while the FanDuel home line of +2.5 makes the Temple Owls a 2.5-point underdog. That 2.3-point gap between the projected margin and the line favors the Temple Owls. The model ranks the Temple Owls 124th and the Richmond Spiders 134th among 365 D-I teams nationally. Barttorvik adjusted efficiency of 109.2 on offense and 105.1 on defense for the Temple Owls, against 110.3 and 104.3 for the Richmond Spiders, works against the Temple Owls on the margin. The 2.5 points the Temple Owls receive at home are already priced into the line. The tier is Strong.

Under 152.5 is a 53.7% chance on the total. Barttorvik adjusted efficiency has the Temple Owls at 109.2 on offense (112th) and 105.1 on defense (153rd) and the Richmond Spiders at 110.3 (96th) and 104.3 (141st). The combined offense-against-defense efficiency for this matchup sits in the 0th percentile of tonight's slate, while the FanDuel total of 152.5 sits in the 47th percentile. Scoring efficiency below what the posted total implies relative to the rest of the slate favors the Under. Barttorvik adjusted tempo of 69.9 for the Temple Owls and 70.6 for the Richmond Spiders averages 70.2 possessions per 40 minutes. The tier is Elite.

North Dakota St Bison -2.5 is a 53.0% chance to cover. The model's power ratings project the CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners to win by 3.9 points against the North Dakota St Bison, while the FanDuel home line of +2.5 makes the CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners a 2.5-point underdog. That 3.9-point gap between the projected margin and the line favors the North Dakota St Bison. The model ranks the CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners 296th and the North Dakota St Bison 232nd among 365 D-I teams nationally. Barttorvik adjusted efficiency of 105.4 on offense and 107.8 on defense for the North Dakota St Bison, against 98.8 and 114.5 for the CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners, favors the North Dakota St Bison on the margin. The CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners playing at home is the biggest factor against the pick. The tier is Strong.

Under 157.5 is a 51.2% chance on the total. Barttorvik adjusted efficiency has the CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners at 98.8 on offense (299th) and 114.5 on defense (355th) and the North Dakota St Bison at 105.4 (165th) and 107.8 (220th). The combined offense-against-defense efficiency for this matchup sits in the 40th percentile of tonight's slate, while the FanDuel total of 157.5 sits in the 80th percentile. Scoring efficiency below what the posted total implies relative to the rest of the slate favors the Under. Barttorvik adjusted tempo of 71.0 for the CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners and 69.5 for the North Dakota St Bison averages 70.3 possessions per 40 minutes. The tier is Strong.

Penn State Nittany Lions +2.5 is a 53.6% chance to cover. The model's power ratings project the Pittsburgh Panthers to win by 1.8 points against the Penn State Nittany Lions, while the FanDuel home line of +2.5 makes the Penn State Nittany Lions a 2.5-point underdog. That 1.8-point gap between the projected margin and the line favors the Penn State Nittany Lions. The model ranks the Penn State Nittany Lions 104th and the Pittsburgh Panthers 71st among 365 D-I teams nationally. Barttorvik adjusted efficiency of 111.1 on offense and 106.2 on defense for the Penn State Nittany Lions, against 110.3 and 100.8 for the Pittsburgh Panthers, works against the Penn State Nittany Lions on the margin. The 2.5 points the Penn State Nittany Lions receive at home are already priced into the line. The tier is Elite.

Under 154.5 is a 51.9% chance on the total. Barttorvik adjusted efficiency has the Penn State Nittany Lions at 111.1 on offense (86th) and 106.2 on defense (183rd) and the Pittsburgh Panthers at 110.3 (95th) and 100.8 (89th). The combined offense-against-defense efficiency for this matchup sits in the 33rd percentile of tonight's slate, while the FanDuel total of 154.5 sits in the 53rd percentile. Scoring efficiency below what the posted total implies relative to the rest of the slate favors the Under. Barttorvik adjusted tempo of 72.8 for the Penn State Nittany Lions and 69.6 for the Pittsburgh Panthers averages 71.2 possessions per 40 minutes. The tier is Strong.

California Golden Bears +19.5 is a 58.5% chance to cover. The model's power ratings project the California Golden Bears to win by 2.8 points against the Houston Cougars, while the FanDuel home line of +19.5 makes the California Golden Bears a 19.5-point underdog. That 2.8-point gap between the projected margin and the line favors the California Golden Bears. The model ranks the California Golden Bears 100th and the Houston Cougars 7th among 365 D-I teams nationally. Barttorvik adjusted efficiency of 109.5 on offense and 100.8 on defense for the California Golden Bears, against 118.3 and 91.8 for the Houston Cougars, works against the California Golden Bears on the margin. The 19.5 points the California Golden Bears receive at home are already priced into the line. The tier is Elite.

Under 145.5 is a 52.5% chance on the total. Barttorvik adjusted efficiency has the California Golden Bears at 109.5 on offense (108th) and 100.8 on defense (87th) and the Houston Cougars at 118.3 (17th) and 91.8 (2nd). The combined offense-against-defense efficiency for this matchup sits in the 13th percentile of tonight's slate, while the FanDuel total of 145.5 sits in the 0th percentile. Scoring efficiency above what the posted total implies relative to the rest of the slate works against the Under. Barttorvik adjusted tempo of 71.2 for the California Golden Bears and 67.5 for the Houston Cougars averages 69.4 possessions per 40 minutes. The tier is Elite.

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors -10.5 is a 50.1% chance to cover. The model's power ratings project the UT-Arlington Mavericks to win by 2.4 points against the Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors, while the FanDuel home line of -10.5 makes the Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors a 10.5-point favorite. That 2.4-point gap between the projected margin and the line favors the Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors. The model ranks the Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 147th and the UT-Arlington Mavericks 199th among 365 D-I teams nationally. Barttorvik adjusted efficiency of 107.1 on offense and 103.9 on defense for the Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors, against 101.0 and 106.1 for the UT-Arlington Mavericks, favors the Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors on the margin. Laying 10.5 points is the biggest factor against the pick. The tier is Weak.

Over 149.5 is a 50.2% chance on the total. Barttorvik adjusted efficiency has the Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at 107.1 on offense (140th) and 103.9 on defense (127th) and the UT-Arlington Mavericks at 101.0 (262nd) and 106.1 (182nd). The combined offense-against-defense efficiency for this matchup sits in the 80th percentile of tonight's slate, while the FanDuel total of 149.5 sits in the 27th percentile. Scoring efficiency above what the posted total implies relative to the rest of the slate favors the Over. Barttorvik adjusted tempo of 71.5 for the Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors and 71.1 for the UT-Arlington Mavericks averages 71.3 possessions per 40 minutes. The tier is Weak.

USC Trojans -5.5 is a 50.8% chance to cover. The model's power ratings project the USC Trojans to win by 0.9 points against the Wichita St Shockers, while the FanDuel home line of -5.5 makes the USC Trojans a 5.5-point favorite. That 0.9-point gap between the projected margin and the line favors the USC Trojans. The model ranks the USC Trojans 38th and the Wichita St Shockers 73rd among 365 D-I teams nationally. Barttorvik adjusted efficiency of 114.6 on offense and 96.5 on defense for the USC Trojans, against 111.3 and 99.4 for the Wichita St Shockers, favors the USC Trojans on the margin. Laying 5.5 points is the biggest factor against the pick. The tier is Moderate.

Under 156.5 is a 52.1% chance on the total. Barttorvik adjusted efficiency has the USC Trojans at 114.6 on offense (46th) and 96.5 on defense (22nd) and the Wichita St Shockers at 111.3 (81st) and 99.4 (69th). The combined offense-against-defense efficiency for this matchup sits in the 27th percentile of tonight's slate, while the FanDuel total of 156.5 sits in the 67th percentile. Scoring efficiency below what the posted total implies relative to the rest of the slate favors the Under. Barttorvik adjusted tempo of 72.3 for the USC Trojans and 71.0 for the Wichita St Shockers averages 71.7 possessions per 40 minutes. The tier is Strong.